Great information. I had never heard before that a stronger system can deviate to the north faster than a weaker system. Can you elaborate on this further? Why does this happen? I would have thought that a stronger system creates its own weather and thus would tend to move west more than a weaker system and not the other way around.
It’s not always true, but often when an upper-level trough is nearby, a stronger storm will be more likely to turn north into the weakness that the trough creates in the subtropical ridge. This is because the trough exists primarily at the upper levels, and a stronger storm is steered by winds higher in the atmosphere. Weaker storms are only steered by low-level winds, and may not turn north due to the upper trough as easily.
The current aircraft recon on your site is impressive. The storm is gaining steam right in front of our eyes.
Satellite imagery is showing a better defined storm as we speak, even looks like the center is becoming defined.
And the aircraft recon shows quite a bit of area above 50-55 kt, much more than 10 hours ago in the prior run.
So one thing for certain is Matthew is strengthening quickly. Now if we can only get a better read on the track. Will it or won’t it make landfall anywhere?
Hi i have a canadienne couple in a sailboat at ile la vache ,haiti….In your next comment video…can you give your opinion on the wind in the arrea when the storm passes…i have been sailing 20 years,now we are in Samana DR….we now watch you everyday…its so clear and easy to understand…thanks Andre on S/V EAUDREE96
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Great job as always. I am learning so much. Here in East Florida keeping my eyes and ears open.
Great information. I had never heard before that a stronger system can deviate to the north faster than a weaker system. Can you elaborate on this further? Why does this happen? I would have thought that a stronger system creates its own weather and thus would tend to move west more than a weaker system and not the other way around.
It’s not always true, but often when an upper-level trough is nearby, a stronger storm will be more likely to turn north into the weakness that the trough creates in the subtropical ridge. This is because the trough exists primarily at the upper levels, and a stronger storm is steered by winds higher in the atmosphere. Weaker storms are only steered by low-level winds, and may not turn north due to the upper trough as easily.
This was great thank you!!!
Nice work Levi, as always.
Perhaps one day quantum computers will be able to discern the butterfly effect coupled with the elephant in the room.
Thanks Levi!
I’m a roofing contractor in West Palm Beach, FL. It’s nice to watch factual, intelligent, and non bias weather forecasting. Well done Levi.
Thsks. Watching from Newfoundland . Keep up the good work.
Nice discussion – appreciate it!
Bonaire prediction?
The current aircraft recon on your site is impressive. The storm is gaining steam right in front of our eyes.
Satellite imagery is showing a better defined storm as we speak, even looks like the center is becoming defined.
And the aircraft recon shows quite a bit of area above 50-55 kt, much more than 10 hours ago in the prior run.
So one thing for certain is Matthew is strengthening quickly. Now if we can only get a better read on the track. Will it or won’t it make landfall anywhere?
Very interesting and very understandable!
Great Job Levi…
Hi i have a canadienne couple in a sailboat at ile la vache ,haiti….In your next comment video…can you give your opinion on the wind in the arrea when the storm passes…i have been sailing 20 years,now we are in Samana DR….we now watch you everyday…its so clear and easy to understand…thanks Andre on S/V EAUDREE96
Great work, Levi… glad your power is back on!!!
Well done Levi!
Just discovered your site, Levi, love it! Will watch faithfully from now on!
Thanks for an easy to understand forecast. Watching Matthew from New London CT.
Amber, I was raised in Mystic! I follow Levi from the Philadelphia suburbs, having lived in this area for many years.