Delta may be starting a eye wall replacement cycle because it is still going to warmer waters, in addition i am no longer seeing the eye on dvorak or infrared loops.
Delta may be starting a eye wall replacement cycle because it is still going to warmer waters an not intensifying as much, in addition i am no longer seeing the eye on dvorak or infrared loops.
As a former high school science teacher who taught hurricanes, I love listening to your analysis and visual effects. You speak so clearly. It makes it so easy to follow your thoughts about the meteorology. I’m so glad I found your site. Thank you for taking the time to inform the public about the storm, models and possible paths. Knowledge is empowering. Local television doesn’t give anywhere near the details you give. While I hope Delta is the last storm of this season, I look forward to future postings.
Certainly won’t be the last name storm of the season with an over active season. However this will be the season where will see the most tropical cyclone form and the third most intense season when compared with 2005, 2017 & 2020 with the first two having the most cat 5 and remember we have yet to see a cat 5 this season and delta now going through eyeball replacement cycle and wind radi increased in all quadrants won’t be surprised again if delta hit Mexico as the first cat 5 hurricane of the season with peak winds of 160 mph. Hope person living in Mexico is fully prepared for delta in Mexico. With the ridge forecast to build and thing then up with upper level through digging in the western USA can’t rule out Mexico getting 2nd hit form delta depends on how much the upper level low to the east of delta has an effect on the sterrring flow on delta but if not then delta takes on the ridge head on. Let see how it plays out
Seems the NHC is naming crap way out in the Atlantic that should have been made. When you have an agenda of promoting GW then you do bad science and start creating for the agenda.
Most of them were so far out tiny and never formed
You can make a model do anything you want it to as long as you control the data.
Not to mention the eye is also creeping back out on infrared loops. It is done with the replacement and going to be a major a peak not of estimated 150mph.
Comments
This looks to be land falling around Lake Charles, Louisiana. Then curving towards Baton Rouge.
A little east.
Things could change. Looks more like Morgan City.
Acadia and St Landry Parish and points South.
Well that is active folks.
Oi vey Lake Charles, Louisiana was already hit by Laura now Delta… maybe increased death rate due to this.
Would have to shift West.
As of right now. I would draw a comparsion to Gustav.
Because of where this was could make landfall it impacts the toe of the boot. Especially with storm surge.
Delta may be starting a eye wall replacement cycle because it is still going to warmer waters, in addition i am no longer seeing the eye on dvorak or infrared loops.
Delta may be starting a eye wall replacement cycle because it is still going to warmer waters an not intensifying as much, in addition i am no longer seeing the eye on dvorak or infrared loops.
(i changed it)
Tbh there wasn’t much of a visible eye ever so if anything it may have failed to clear its eye
How many times in Sat era history have we had a Cat 4 storm with no visible eye?
no idea but this might be a first, either that or the aircraft malfunctioned
At this moment, I’m seeing Corpus Christi, to Galveston Island landfall? The track is being pushed more to the west now.
To Intercoastal City….
You can’t have a Gulf Coast Hurricane without Intercoastal City being in the box
As a former high school science teacher who taught hurricanes, I love listening to your analysis and visual effects. You speak so clearly. It makes it so easy to follow your thoughts about the meteorology. I’m so glad I found your site. Thank you for taking the time to inform the public about the storm, models and possible paths. Knowledge is empowering. Local television doesn’t give anywhere near the details you give. While I hope Delta is the last storm of this season, I look forward to future postings.
Certainly won’t be the last name storm of the season with an over active season. However this will be the season where will see the most tropical cyclone form and the third most intense season when compared with 2005, 2017 & 2020 with the first two having the most cat 5 and remember we have yet to see a cat 5 this season and delta now going through eyeball replacement cycle and wind radi increased in all quadrants won’t be surprised again if delta hit Mexico as the first cat 5 hurricane of the season with peak winds of 160 mph. Hope person living in Mexico is fully prepared for delta in Mexico. With the ridge forecast to build and thing then up with upper level through digging in the western USA can’t rule out Mexico getting 2nd hit form delta depends on how much the upper level low to the east of delta has an effect on the sterrring flow on delta but if not then delta takes on the ridge head on. Let see how it plays out
Thigthing up****
Overactive Season?
Seems the NHC is naming crap way out in the Atlantic that should have been made. When you have an agenda of promoting GW then you do bad science and start creating for the agenda.
Most of them were so far out tiny and never formed
You can make a model do anything you want it to as long as you control the data.
Powerful downpour in the Yucatan.
Not to mention the eye is also creeping back out on infrared loops. It is done with the replacement and going to be a major a peak not of estimated 150mph.
meant now peak of 150 likely in post updates.
Delta has a free path west.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mtpw2m/product.php?color_type=tpw_nrl_colors&layer=500-700&prod=namer×pan=24hrs&anim=html5