Support TTNana Forms – Landfall in Belize, Guatemala, or Honduras Expected Late Wednesday or Thursday
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Another wonderful projection and analysis by one of the best.
Scary track for the many boats in the Rio Dulce. I have been under the impression that the reason the Rio has supposedly not been hit in living memory when listening to the ‘locals’ has more to do with chance, or poor memories than with some inherent protection of this favourite hurricane ‘hole’.
I see no sense of urgency or protection activity.
New to the site. Fantastic! Love the analysis. Best I have seen in 25 yes of sailing the tropics and while circumnavigating.
Many thanks.
Jim sv Gaia
I don’t think there is a sense of urgency in Guatemala at all. Neither INSIVUMEH or CONRED have suggested any significant preparation be made. Yesterday, CONRED basically said “clouds and rain beginning Thursday morning”. In Antigua few people even know about it. Granted, it won’t be a hurricane here but there’s likely to be a fair bit for rain in the mountains.
The tropical storm has a chance of reaching the western Gulf of Mexico.
The eastern tropical Pacific is cool.
Valley of the jet stream is in the Midwest.
That was what I was wondering. Haven’t really looked too much at it because didn’t see it as a threat to me.
But so far haven’t seen anyone having in entering the Bay of Campeche.
My prediction this that there will be no tropical cyclone in the Atlantic basin during the wk of September 10th
My prediction this month is that there will be no tropical cyclone in the Atlantic basin during the wk of September 10th
Another tropical wave follows just behind Nana below Cuba.
The storm will find warm water below Cuba and in the Bay of Campeche.
We in Belize are desperately hoping for an update since our radar is down
Nana enter ashore in Belize.
Sorry.
Nana enters ashore in Belize.
My prediction is that there will be no week without a storm in september.
Really looking for some long term spaghetti models about the current storms coming off of Africa 9/04/2020… where are they?
I see a couple of spaghetti models on another site. Most have it going north into the Atlantic.
Does have a high chance of forming something, so keeping an eye on it.
The tropical wave over the Yucatan Peninsula is moving to the western Gulf of Mexico.
Are you referring to Nana, which has moved into the Pacific?
Or has a new one formed?
I think you are referring to the thunderstorms that showed up on the IR.
I have no idea how to spot a tropical wave, so I’ll just wait and see if it comes up.
Well, in things that might actually spawn a hurricane – 92AL in the Atlantic is forecasted to be a hurricane by the GFS.
Hopefully it stays out to sea as currently projected.
Yeah, it could be pretty tragic if it has a similar track like Irma but it’s very unlikely
Omar is finally dead! The system was probably a pain to forecast.
Unfortunately it hasn’t fully dissipated yet
Tropical Storm Julio has formed! However they forgot to remove that red x when it formed (as of 4:34 PM EDT)
Wasn’t it Nana previously?
No clue how they do those things, but seems like it’s been the same low the entire time.
It’s been renamed due to Nana’s LLC dissipating. It’s the same system, but with a different circulation. Like the Amanda/Cristobal thing.
Thanks!
Also, it seems like 92L is finally getting ready to be a TC. It’s almost done merging.
Looks like TD 17 has formed in the atlantic and another wave off Africa has a 90% chance to form in the next 48 hours.
Hopefully the paths on the models stay true and they spin off into the North Atlantic.
Now the tropical wave will move towards the hot sea in the Gulf Stream region. The jet stream will press hard south over the Midwest.
This circulation will continue over North America as La Nina grows stronger. There will be an early cold air attack in the US.
Anybody have any info on the bermuda system? Only the ICON has a system forming, but, because the storm has a 30% formation chance in 5 days, I wouldn’t believe tropical or subtropical cyclone formation is out of the question.
In a few days the tropical wave will be in the Sargasso Sea.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mtpw2/product.php?color_type=tpw_nrl_colors&prod=natl×pan=24hrs&anim=anigf
Unrelated to the wave, if this made landfall on Cabo Verde, it would be the first landfall there in a long time.
By this, I mean Eighteen.
Tropical Storm Paulette has formed in the Atlantic.
Still projected to go north, good news for those of us in the Gulf.
18 has turned into Rene. Also projected to go north.
Crossing my fingers those paths hold true.
There’s a lot of shear in the gulf so I doubt anything will form there for a while
Levi, can you please shut down this mis-information.
Please!