Monitoring Disturbances in Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico

   Posted by Levi at 3:34pm on June 29, 2022

Brief Wednesday update on two tropical disturbances, as I am not yet well enough to resume videos:

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two (#PTC2) continues to race westward through the Caribbean just north of Venezuela, currently close to Curaçao. There is not yet evidence of a closed circulation, which would make the system officially a tropical storm, but it is getting close. Formation of a tropical storm is likely as PTC2 passes near the coastline of Colombia and moves westward into Central America by Friday Evening, where NHC estimates it will have winds around 70 mph at landfall. Heavy rains will create the possibility for flash flooding and mudslides.

Invest #95L in the Gulf of Mexico does have a closed circulation, but remains very weak and disorganized. Dry air and vertical shear are keeping this system in check, and while slow development is possible before landfall in southern Texas on Thursday, the only impacts are expected to be locally heavy rainfall. Check weather.gov for details on impacts to your local area.

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