Thank you so much for your clear and detailed explanation of this evolving storm and the potential path and intensity. You are much appreciated here in the FL Panhandle!
Ida is a forecasters nightmare because the likely track over the loop current’s huge high heat content anomaly could bring on explosive development, but rapid intensification is by no means a sure thing.
There is very little time for anyone to prepare for a major hurricane and this one could catch people off guard.
I don’t envy the forecasters or anyone living in Louisiana right now. I kinda envy you living in Hawaii. I miss the place.
Michael wasn’t even expected to become major initially, much less a hurricane before Cuba. Ida has already attained hurricane strength far before the point Michael did, and with the Gulf’s temperatures near their warmest point of the year, this thing’s going to intensify extremely quickly.
I know no one can predict the exact place an eye may come over. But I read years ago how far on average NHC has a bit off in miles through the years.
Seems like it was quite a few miles.
And in the gulf it’s generally to the east. For example Sally last year, went to bed with prediction MS/AL line. Center came over my house in Milton Fl the next morning. Pensacola bridge to Gulf Breeze damaged for over six months.
Read Levi’s comments and links for years at Wunderweather, now defunk.
Loved reading the back and forth from know-it-alls and amatures (Ike and Ptrap). Anybody know of a site that has that?
Comments
Thank you so much for your clear and detailed explanation of this evolving storm and the potential path and intensity. You are much appreciated here in the FL Panhandle!
Lake Charles in the Hurricane Laura vicinity will get landfall. DeJaVu again.
The high over Southeast influence on disturbance was enlightening.
where’s HAARP when you need it!!!
For all those of us that stayed glued to your site much thanks. The waiting and wondering is very stressing.
Spaghetti models
https://www.iweathernet.com/list-current-tropical-storms-hurricanes/hurricane-spaghetti-models
Amazing your job. Congrats
Ida is a forecasters nightmare because the likely track over the loop current’s huge high heat content anomaly could bring on explosive development, but rapid intensification is by no means a sure thing.
There is very little time for anyone to prepare for a major hurricane and this one could catch people off guard.
I don’t envy the forecasters or anyone living in Louisiana right now. I kinda envy you living in Hawaii. I miss the place.
Very informative. Thank you so much for the detail and excellent weather reporting.
Deja Vu all over again. This Sunday is the 16th anniversary of Katrina.
My god.
Guys, this is going to be close to a Cat 5 at landfall. I think we’re making the same mistakes as we did in Michael.
At least a mid-Cat 4.
Michael wasn’t even expected to become major initially, much less a hurricane before Cuba. Ida has already attained hurricane strength far before the point Michael did, and with the Gulf’s temperatures near their warmest point of the year, this thing’s going to intensify extremely quickly.
I know no one can predict the exact place an eye may come over. But I read years ago how far on average NHC has a bit off in miles through the years.
Seems like it was quite a few miles.
And in the gulf it’s generally to the east. For example Sally last year, went to bed with prediction MS/AL line. Center came over my house in Milton Fl the next morning. Pensacola bridge to Gulf Breeze damaged for over six months.
Read Levi’s comments and links for years at Wunderweather, now defunk.
Loved reading the back and forth from know-it-alls and amatures (Ike and Ptrap). Anybody know of a site that has that?
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