i will give it a 50% of it going to sea it still can do that it might may make land fall on the
board of nc and sc or lt can just go straight and va and obx can see some rainbands but that is it but i glve it a 70% to see it
Thanks again for all of the great information. I’m keeping a keen eye on this storm living in Hampton Roads. I recall last year seeing storm surge prediction maps on the NHC website, but can’t find them now. Do you know of any such products anywhere?
When a storm gets close enough to land to cause a surge threat, you will be able to find storm surge inundation maps in the set of graphics shown for the storm on the NHC home page. Florence is not yet close enough to make surge predictions.
I work for a major airline. Our weather dept. states if the GFS modeling stays true. For the southeast; Florence easily could rival Hazel and the flooding much, much, worse than Floyd and Katrina. Two notable statements made were,” if all holds true they will retire this storms name after all is said and done.” And, “this storm could have the southeast on its knees for months.” I pray not. But only mother nature and the good lord knows what’s in store. Always enjoy your site Levi.
Sure going to be interesting as to what happens next week, especially given the models showing a “stalling” effect once it reaches land in terms of Florence.
But please people, this isnt about climate change. Years of no majors hitting the US was described as a “fluke”, now if we get ONE in a year, all of a sudden, all that is heard is “climate change” caused this. This doesnt help convince non-believers when it makes those that do sound eccentric because of one storm
I watched this last night – you have by far a better weather analysis than those I have heard from other weather stations.
I can appreciate the in-depth details you provide, it really puts the steering of Tropical soon-to-be Hurricane Florence into perspective.
We live at the coast here on OBX – 900 feet from the ocean, none of us are happy about the prognosis but understandably will make plans. The sheer area the storm will cover is going to make it almost impossible to find something reasonable within a few hours that might not get flooded or loose power. I keep hoping it will astound everyone and go out to sea. I realize that window is very narrow now.
Hi Levi,
As always, thanks for your in depth analysis. I’m curious. Will the passage of Helene and Isaac lower SST’s enough to curtail Cape Verde storm development and strengthening in the short term? Thanks
Thank you! As always, very well presented. I live 100 miles inland and North/Northwest of Wilmington/Myrtle Beach. I again thank you for all that you do. It is very helpful to know the best information available in a timely manor. I’ll be pre-testing generators and chain saws and filling up gas cans and propane tanks Monday and Tuesday. Most of all, I’ll be praying for all who in the path and thanking the Lord for you. Blessings, Keith
Even if Florence misses going up the coast to the mid-Atlantic and Northeast, could the fetch and it being stalled cause significant coastal flooding much further north?
Comments
Thank you for all the “ifs, ands or buts” Levi. We appreciate the time and devotion you put into these videos.
i will give it a 50% of it going to sea it still can do that it might may make land fall on the
board of nc and sc or lt can just go straight and va and obx can see some rainbands but that is it but i glve it a 70% to see it
You rock, Levi! Thank you, as always, for an informative and in-depth update. I learn so much from you!
Lots of great information well presented, as always. Thanks, Levi.
I wish I would’ve known about this site forever ago. Thank you for doing this! Praying my hometown Nags Head doesn’t get demolished 🙁
Thanks a lot for your explanation, looking forward for tomorrow’s forcast regarding the still recovering island of Puerto Rico.
Thanks again for all of the great information. I’m keeping a keen eye on this storm living in Hampton Roads. I recall last year seeing storm surge prediction maps on the NHC website, but can’t find them now. Do you know of any such products anywhere?
Hi Dave,
When a storm gets close enough to land to cause a surge threat, you will be able to find storm surge inundation maps in the set of graphics shown for the storm on the NHC home page. Florence is not yet close enough to make surge predictions.
The hurricane season this year had a slow start, but it’s trying to catch up now. Stay safe everyone. Thanks, Levi.
It looks like a possible historical storm in North Carolina possibly rivaling Hurricane Hazel of 1954! Climate change continues!
and isbell
from 2003
we are still 6 days away from it making landfall it can change in the next 2 or 3 days
I work for a major airline. Our weather dept. states if the GFS modeling stays true. For the southeast; Florence easily could rival Hazel and the flooding much, much, worse than Floyd and Katrina. Two notable statements made were,” if all holds true they will retire this storms name after all is said and done.” And, “this storm could have the southeast on its knees for months.” I pray not. But only mother nature and the good lord knows what’s in store. Always enjoy your site Levi.
Is fascinating in this day and age that many think supernatural forces are a factor, or that conjuring them up can change the outcome.
But I do hope everyone is prepared. Our ability to forecast allows preparation and save lives.
european is better then the gfs we will get some rain off it but nothing major close call made next year
Sure going to be interesting as to what happens next week, especially given the models showing a “stalling” effect once it reaches land in terms of Florence.
But please people, this isnt about climate change. Years of no majors hitting the US was described as a “fluke”, now if we get ONE in a year, all of a sudden, all that is heard is “climate change” caused this. This doesnt help convince non-believers when it makes those that do sound eccentric because of one storm
^^^
Thanks Levi,
I watched this last night – you have by far a better weather analysis than those I have heard from other weather stations.
I can appreciate the in-depth details you provide, it really puts the steering of Tropical soon-to-be Hurricane Florence into perspective.
We live at the coast here on OBX – 900 feet from the ocean, none of us are happy about the prognosis but understandably will make plans. The sheer area the storm will cover is going to make it almost impossible to find something reasonable within a few hours that might not get flooded or loose power. I keep hoping it will astound everyone and go out to sea. I realize that window is very narrow now.
Thank you again.
Thanks, Levi! Great job! We depended on you last year during Irma. We eagerly anticipate each broadcast.
Hi Levi,
As always, thanks for your in depth analysis. I’m curious. Will the passage of Helene and Isaac lower SST’s enough to curtail Cape Verde storm development and strengthening in the short term? Thanks
Thanks Levi. I wait each evening for your video in order tonmonitor Hurricane Florence. Living in SC, you are my accurate source.
Thank you! As always, very well presented. I live 100 miles inland and North/Northwest of Wilmington/Myrtle Beach. I again thank you for all that you do. It is very helpful to know the best information available in a timely manor. I’ll be pre-testing generators and chain saws and filling up gas cans and propane tanks Monday and Tuesday. Most of all, I’ll be praying for all who in the path and thanking the Lord for you. Blessings, Keith
You thank your imaginary god that I’m in the path? Astounding.
Even if Florence misses going up the coast to the mid-Atlantic and Northeast, could the fetch and it being stalled cause significant coastal flooding much further north?