Support TT99L Remains Disorganized but Must Still be Watched; Tropical Low Bringing Rain to Gulf Coast; Invest 91L May Approach North Carolina
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Comments
As always, thank you for the update. Waiting patiently to see what happens.
Thanks Levi!! I am a weather fanatic and I always love watching your videos! I’ve learned a ton about tropical development over the past couple years from them. Just was looking at the 12z euro operational and it is trending stronger! Looks like we may have a model split again if the euro solidifies this trend with the 00z. Do you think that the trend of a further west track will allow for more strengthening? Certainly looks like the low level spin is much stronger today but as you said the northern shear is really limiting the thunderstorms on that north/ northwest side with all the dry air getting shot into the system. So much going on with this system. It’s been fun to watch it play out across the Atlantic. Thanks again!
The newest EURO goes nuts with it!! CMC also trending stronger like the UKMET. Bad trends…
I echo Nicks thoughts. You have a gift for the tropics. Any chance we can get you to do some videos in the winter?
I’m from the midcoast of Maine and I would love to see his analysis on a strong nor’easter developing off of a clipper system. Those systems always baffle me. One can be a complete bust and another can be predicted to skirt by and then it will blow up and give us two feet.
This is much more interesting than watching TV, Levi. Your videos are not only vital in keeping everyone up to date, they are so informational. I’m not even a “weather buff”, but I live on the So. TX coast so am very hurricane conscious! Thanks again!
Looks like we have a redeveloping low level center about 50 miles further south east now under the heavy convection and closer to the midlevel circulation. Last couple frames show the convection dying out which if i had to guess is probably that low level center developing more and sucking the dry mid level air to the north into the circulation.
Upper level low drifting south away from fiona remnants may shear 99l in the future. Not to sure about Euro, still very unorganized, would have to go through rapid development to achieve that outcome. Everything would have to be perfect for that to happen. Hardly any of the euro ensembles members have the deterministic outcome. Still must be watched.
Why are all these hurricanes linked with an upper level low?
Also I don’t think its developing a new llc I think it was always there. I watch these things like a hawk and that is the same llc that was north of DR a few days ago. It never drifted south into Cuba it stayed just north and stalled and is now moving west.
Great info Levi , the water temp in the gulf is rocket fuel if given the chance, I live in Sarasota, have a sailboat and am always concerned about the weather.
Again thank you,
Popeye
Hi Levi, Why are some of the models predicting a turn towards the west coast of Florida (around Tampa Fl.) by Tuesday when others are showing a more northern to northwestern tract? Is the high over the southeastern United States predicted to weaken? Thank You Levi
Well 99L is now a TD9 and 91L is TD8 plus Gaston is now a Major Hurricane.
We fans are getting restless Levi, I am in Sarasota with Sailboat on Mooring, ughhhh The system moving off Africa, is also very healthy according to a few long range models.
Thanks for the great info,
Pop’s
Faux no news,,, just blathered trop D # 9 is shown by two reliable models to become a Hurricane in the Gulf
thoughts???